Dieselgate – in addition to also right now for the fallout
Source : Dieselgate – in addition to also right now for the fallout
within the wake of the dieselgate scandal, car makers in Europe will be working on meeting tougher EU emissions standards, although what’s the answer?
We’re nearly two months into the dieselgate scandal.
So far, most of the attention has been on Volkswagen, the defenestration of some the item’s most senior staff in addition to also the likely financial impact on the company.
the item has already declared a £2.5 billion loss for the third quarter of 2015, as the item stacks up cash to pay for the massive recall work on the EA189 engine, as well as compensation in addition to also the likely fines through governments in addition to also regulators.
The wider VW Group has already hired Thomas Sedran through Opel to be the chief of corporate strategy in addition to also promise which the all-completely new vision for the VW Group will be revealed within the middle of next year.
However, a couple of recent news stories reveal just how much of a quiet panic the wider European car industry is actually in, right now which the issue of diesel pollution is actually well in addition to also truly under the microscope.
VW admitted which the item used a software ‘cheat’ to get its EA189-engined diesel cars through the US pollution tests, after the International Council on Clean Transportation revealed which real-world tests of the firm’s diesel engines showed much higher NOx emissions than were revealed in lab tests.
Immediately, demands were made which all diesel vehicles should be tested in real-world conditions in addition to also not in lab situations. The same demands were made by some politicians in Europe, although there hasn’t been much said about This kind of until yesterday.
Elzbieta Bienkowska, who is actually the European commissioner for industrial policy, released details of the completely new EU policy on emissions of nitrogen oxides through diesel cars.
With real-world pollution testing beginning in September 2017, Bienkowska in addition to also the Technical Committee for Motor Vehicles decided which NOx emissions through completely new vehicles can exceed the EU6 limits by up to 110% until January 2020.
the item’s hard to see This kind of as anything additional than an admission which most car makers cannot meet the real-world NOx limits without some massive investments in addition to also on a timescale which might not be achievable.
Further pressure arrived through the US, when the mighty combination of Harvard University in addition to also the Massachusetts Institute of Technology declared which the 428,000 cheat diesels VW sold within the US could lead to 60 premature deaths.
NOx emissions are right now even being blamed for contributing to a decline within the bee population. To say which diesel will be on the back foot through right now on, is actually likely to be an understatement.
A couple of weeks ago I spent an evening with Peter Mertens, Volvo’s head of research in addition to also development. When pressed on the dieselgate issue, he assured me which Volvo could cover the issue by fitting urea-injection systems on all its diesel vehicles, including C-segment (Golf-sized) cars. “So the urea-injection engines cost another €1200, although which’s the solution,” he said.
Which is actually OK, perhaps, when you are a premium car maker, with buyers willing to spend the extra money on the cleanest diesel motors. What happens, though, when half of your sales are of mainstream diesel products in addition to also your platform hasn’t been designed to accommodate a massive urea tank in addition to also the associated injection equipment?
Also, adding €1200 to the cost of a mainstream diesel car could completely upend the marginal profits selling such cars within the hyper-competitive European completely new car market.
The EU law makers in addition to also the European car makers are right now in a serious jam. If EU politicians demand which completely new diesel cars meet the real-world NOx standards by 2017, many mainstream car makers will be unable to comply, by being simply unable to re-engineer their vehicles in time.
If they can add urea injection, they could cost themselves out of the market in addition to also/or lose significant sums on every diesel car sold.
Worse still, at least half of most car makers’ sales need to be diesel to have any chance of meeting the EU’s demand for a fleet CO2 average of between 85g/km in addition to also 105g/km by 2020.
You’ve got to have some sympathy for the vehicle makers. They were encouraged to rush down the diesel route by EU legislation which, unlike US laws, put fuel economy before clean air.
right now the EU looks like the item could demand hyper-economy in addition to also clean air at a cost the average European motorist can afford: an impossible task for many car makers.
Something is actually going to have to give. Bienkowska in addition to also her technical experts have concluded we have to play higher NOx levels against the reality of the economics of car production in addition to also the strict CO2 targets.
The next couple of years are going to be very interesting for the European car industry.
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